Pre-tourney Rankings
Abilene Christian
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#157
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#133
Pace65.2#279
Improvement+1.7#111

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#202
First Shot-0.6#196
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#193
Layup/Dunks-1.4#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#252
Freethrows-0.7#237
Improvement-1.8#269

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#139
First Shot+0.6#152
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#108
Layups/Dunks+1.4#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#41
Freethrows-2.1#308
Improvement+3.5#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round2.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 32.0 - 2.02.0 - 3.0
Quad 421.0 - 3.023.0 - 6.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 248   Arkansas St. W 94-73 79%     1 - 0 +12.9 +8.7 +2.6
  Nov 15, 2018 304   @ Denver W 67-61 72%     2 - 0 +0.2 -0.3 +1.3
  Nov 22, 2018 298   Elon W 72-56 79%     3 - 0 +7.9 +13.2 -1.1
  Nov 23, 2018 198   @ Pacific W 73-71 50%     4 - 0 +2.4 +7.8 -5.2
  Nov 24, 2018 312   UC Riverside W 60-48 82%     5 - 0 +2.8 -5.5 +10.9
  Dec 01, 2018 154   @ Pepperdine L 62-77 37%     5 - 1 -11.4 -9.2 -2.4
  Dec 04, 2018 196   Campbell W 83-68 70%     6 - 1 +10.0 +5.3 +4.9
  Dec 15, 2018 9   @ Texas Tech L 48-82 4%     6 - 2 -13.0 -7.5 -8.3
  Dec 21, 2018 317   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 70-68 75%     7 - 2 -4.8 -9.2 +4.4
  Jan 02, 2019 253   New Orleans W 68-58 79%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +1.8 -6.9 +8.6
  Jan 05, 2019 177   @ Sam Houston St. L 68-71 44%     8 - 3 1 - 1 -1.1 -1.9 +0.6
  Jan 09, 2019 331   @ McNeese St. W 73-72 81%     9 - 3 2 - 1 -8.0 +5.3 -13.2
  Jan 12, 2019 237   @ SE Louisiana W 75-72 58%     10 - 3 3 - 1 +1.4 +6.0 -4.5
  Jan 16, 2019 284   Houston Baptist W 75-68 83%     11 - 3 4 - 1 -2.7 -4.1 +1.5
  Jan 19, 2019 337   Northwestern St. W 78-69 93%     12 - 3 5 - 1 -7.6 -0.5 -7.1
  Jan 23, 2019 302   @ Stephen F. Austin L 60-61 72%     12 - 4 5 - 2 -6.8 -16.6 +9.9
  Jan 26, 2019 303   Central Arkansas W 79-56 86%     13 - 4 6 - 2 +11.7 -3.9 +14.6
  Jan 30, 2019 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-71 83%     14 - 4 7 - 2 -2.9 +3.6 -6.5
  Feb 06, 2019 224   @ Lamar W 75-64 55%     15 - 4 8 - 2 +10.2 +0.8 +9.4
  Feb 09, 2019 177   Sam Houston St. L 85-90 2OT 65%     15 - 5 8 - 3 -8.7 -3.1 -4.9
  Feb 13, 2019 306   @ Nicholls St. W 64-48 74%     16 - 5 9 - 3 +9.8 -8.1 +19.1
  Feb 16, 2019 344   @ Incarnate Word W 68-48 88%     17 - 5 10 - 3 +7.7 -6.5 +16.5
  Feb 23, 2019 237   SE Louisiana L 66-75 76%     17 - 6 10 - 4 -16.2 -1.6 -15.7
  Feb 27, 2019 288   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-64 68%     18 - 6 11 - 4 +4.6 +5.8 -0.6
  Mar 02, 2019 303   @ Central Arkansas W 67-55 72%     19 - 6 12 - 4 +6.2 -5.4 +12.4
  Mar 05, 2019 302   Stephen F. Austin W 72-58 86%     20 - 6 13 - 4 +2.7 +3.0 +1.2
  Mar 09, 2019 344   Incarnate Word W 81-52 95%     21 - 6 14 - 4 +11.1 +6.3 +8.6
  Mar 15, 2019 237   SE Louisiana W 69-66 68%     22 - 6 -1.4 -3.3 +2.0
  Mar 16, 2019 253   New Orleans W 77-60 71%     23 - 6 +11.6 +3.6 +7.9
Projected Record 23.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.1 1.8 91.0 7.3
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.1 1.8 91.0 7.3